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Meta Platforms Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.10% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Meta Platforms's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Meta Platforms's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Meta Platforms Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Meta Platforms's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Meta Platforms's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Meta Platforms Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.88

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Meta Platforms  (NAS:FB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Meta Platforms Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Meta Platforms's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Meta Platforms Business Description

Meta Platforms logo
Industry
Address
1601 Willow Road, Menlo Park, CA, USA, 94025
Meta is the world's largest online social network, with 2.5 billion monthly active users. Users engage with each other in different ways, exchanging messages and sharing news events, photos, and videos. On the video side, the firm is in the process of building a library of premium content and monetizing it via ads or subscription revenue. Meta refers to this as Facebook Watch. The firm's ecosystem consists mainly of the Facebook app, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and many features surrounding these products. Users can access Facebook on mobile devices and desktops. Advertising revenue represents more than 90% of the firm's total revenue, with 50% coming from the U.S. and Canada and 25% from Europe. With gross margins above 80%, Meta operates at a 30%-plus margin.
Executives
Newstead Jennifer officer: VP and General Counsel C/O FACEBOOK, INC. 1601 WILLOW ROAD MENLO PARK CA 94025
Fischer David B. officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O FACEBOOK, INC. 1601 WILLOW ROAD MENLO PARK CA 94025
Wehner David M. officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FACEBOOK, INC. 1601 WILLOW ROAD MENLO PARK CA 94025
Taylor Susan J.s. officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O LINKEDIN CORPORATION 2029 STIERLIN COURT MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Kimmitt Robert M director C/O FACEBOOK, INC. 1601 WILLOW ROAD MENLO PARK CA 94025
Travis Tracey Thomas director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: TRAVIS TRACEY THOMAS a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Sandberg Sheryl director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 1 FACEBOOK WAY MENLO PARK CA 94025
Killefer Nancy director 3170 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Houston Andrew director 333 BRANNAN STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Schroepfer Michael Todd officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O FACEBOOK INC. 1601 WILLOW ROAD MENLO PARK CA 94025
Cox Christopher K officer: Chief Product Officer C/O FACEBOOK, INC. 1601 WILLOW ROAD MENLO PARK CA 94025
Andreessen Marc L director C/O ARNOLD & PORTER LLP 3 EMBARCADERO CENTER 7TH FLOOR SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Alford Peggy director 435 TASSO STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Thiel Peter director 9200 SUNSET BOULEVARD SUITE 1110 WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Zients Jeffrey D director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ZIENTS JEFFREY D a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}

Meta Platforms Headlines

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