Nihon Decoluxe Co (NGO:7950) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jul. 07, 2026)


NGO:7950 Nihon Decoluxe Co Ltd NGO:7950
70 GF Score
Price 円8,650.00
GF Value 円8,385.21
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nihon Decoluxe Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Nihon Decoluxe Co NGO:7950 70 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates NGO:7950 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of 円8,385.21 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Nihon Decoluxe Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Nihon Decoluxe Co  (NGO:7950) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Nihon Decoluxe Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


NGO:7950 vs SN, SGI, MHK: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Nihon Decoluxe Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nihon Decoluxe Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nihon Decoluxe Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nihon Decoluxe Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


NGO:7950
70GF Score
Nihon Decoluxe Co Ltd NGO:7950
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nihon Decoluxe Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Nihon Decoluxe Co (NGO:7950) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jul. 07, 2026.
Is Nihon Decoluxe Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Nihon Decoluxe Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Nihon Decoluxe Co has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nihon Decoluxe Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SN and SGI?
Nihon Decoluxe Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Nihon Decoluxe Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nihon Decoluxe Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nihon Decoluxe Co (NGO:7950) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円8,385.21, compared to a current price of 円8,650.00 — trading 3.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Nihon Decoluxe Co's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nihon Decoluxe Co (NGO:7950), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nihon Decoluxe Co (NGO:7950) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nihon Decoluxe Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円8,650.00 is trading 3.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円8,385.21. GuruFocus considers Nihon Decoluxe Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for NGO:7950:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: 円8,385.21 vs. price of 円8,650.00 (3.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:7950 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nihon Decoluxe Co Business Description

Address 10 Maeyashiki Kashiwamori, Aichi Prefecture, Niwa-gun, Fuso, JPN, 480-0103
Nihon Decoluxe Co Ltd is engaged in offering decorative boards. It operates Decorative board business unit which covers melamine decorative boards, Living environment business unit, Electronic materials business unit, and a Chemical anchor business unit. The company has two reportable segments: Construction Materials Business and Real Estate Business. The Construction Materials Business manufactures and sells decorative panel products, products for the electronic parts industry, and chemical anchor products. Real Estate Business owns office buildings for lease and engages in real estate leasing.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGO:7950

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円8,650.00
Price
円8,385.21
GF Value