NGL Fine-Chem (NSE:NGLFINE) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


NSE:NGLFINE NGL Fine-Chem Ltd NSE:NGLFINE
78 GF Score
Price ₹2,989.90
GF Value ₹2,803.99
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is NGL Fine-Chem Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

NGL Fine-Chem NSE:NGLFINE -2.72% 78 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSE:NGLFINE with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹2,803.99 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, NGL Fine-Chem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


NGL Fine-Chem  (NSE:NGLFINE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


NGL Fine-Chem Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


NSE:NGLFINE vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, NGL Fine-Chem's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NGL Fine-Chem Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, NGL Fine-Chem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NGL Fine-Chem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


NSE:NGLFINE
78GF Score
NGL Fine-Chem Ltd NSE:NGLFINE
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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NGL Fine-Chem Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.50

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
NGL Fine-Chem (NSE:NGLFINE) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is NGL Fine-Chem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
NGL Fine-Chem's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, NGL Fine-Chem has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NGL Fine-Chem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to LLY and JNJ?
NGL Fine-Chem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Drug Manufacturers company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Drug Manufacturers industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. NGL Fine-Chem's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NGL Fine-Chem stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NGL Fine-Chem (NSE:NGLFINE) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹2,803.99, compared to a current price of ₹2,989.90 — trading 6.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. NGL Fine-Chem's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NGL Fine-Chem (NSE:NGLFINE), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NGL Fine-Chem (NSE:NGLFINE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NGL Fine-Chem stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₹2,989.90 is trading 6.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₹2,803.99. GuruFocus considers NGL Fine-Chem to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for NSE:NGLFINE:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: ₹2,803.99 vs. price of ₹2,989.90 (6.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:NGLFINE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NGL Fine-Chem Business Description

Other Exchanges 524774:India
Address 301, E Square, Subhash Road, Vile Parle (East), Mumbai, MH, IND, 400057
NGL Fine-Chem Ltd is an Indian company engaged in the pharmaceutical business. It is a manufacturer of pharmaceuticals and intermediates for use in veterinary and human health, catering to various companies to custom-manufacture pharmaceuticals. The company's product portfolio comprises animal health APIs such as homidium chloride, nitroxynil, clorsulon, decoquinate, fenbendazole, etc.; human health APIs such as nitazoxanide and atovaquone; drug intermediates and specialty chemicals; and finished dosage forms such as diminazene aceturate granules and homidium chloride tablets. Geographically, the group generates maximum revenue from the Asia-Pacific region, and the rest from India, Europe, the USA, and the rest of the world.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:NGLFINE

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹2,989.90
Price
₹2,803.99
GF Value