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American Strategic Investment Co (American Strategic Investment Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.51% (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is American Strategic Investment Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, American Strategic Investment Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.51%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of American Strategic Investment Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, American Strategic Investment Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Strategic Investment Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, American Strategic Investment Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Strategic Investment Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



American Strategic Investment Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.27

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.51%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


American Strategic Investment Co  (NYSE:NYC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


American Strategic Investment Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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American Strategic Investment Co (American Strategic Investment Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
650 Fifth Avenue, 30th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10019
American Strategic Investment Co is an externally managed company that currently owns a portfolio of commercial real estate located within the five boroughs of New York City, majorly Manhattan. The Company's real estate assets consist of office properties and certain real estate assets that accompany office properties, including retail spaces and amenities.
Executives
Nicholas S Schorsch 10 percent owner
Joseph Marnikovic officer: Chief Financial Officer 650 FIFTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Michael Ray Anderson officer: Chief Executive Officer 650 FIFTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Elizabeth K. Tuppeny director C/O AMERICAN REALTY CAPITAL PROPERTIES, 405 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Louis P. Dipalma director 650 FIFTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Christopher J. Masterson officer: CFO and Treasurer 405 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Bellevue Capital Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BELLEVUE AVENUE, NEWPORT RI 02840
New York City Special Ltd. Partnership, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BELLEVUE AVENUE, NEWPORT RI 02840
New York City Advisors, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BELLEVUE AVENUE, NEWPORT RI 02840
Ar Global Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BELLEVUE AVENUE, NEWPORT RI 02840
American Realty Capital Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BELLEVUE AVENUE, NEWPORT RI 02840
Lee M Elman director 405 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Abby M. Wenzel director C/O AMERICAN REALTY CAPITAL PROPERTIES, 405 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Weil Edward M Jr. director, officer: CEO, President and Secretary C/O AMERICAN REALTY CAPITAL 405 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Katie P Kurtz officer: CFO and Treasurer 405 PARK AVENUE, THIRD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022

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