Kjell Group AB (OSTO:KJELL) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.09% (As of Aug. 16, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

OSTO:KJELL Kjell Group AB OSTO:KJELL
61 GF Score
Price kr13.40
GF Value kr7.61
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Kjell Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Kjell Group AB OSTO:KJELL +2.29% 61 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09% as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates OSTO:KJELL with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of kr7.61 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kjell Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kjell Group AB  (OSTO:KJELL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kjell Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


OSTO:KJELL vs AAPL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Kjell Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kjell Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Kjell Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kjell Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


OSTO:KJELL
61GF Score
Kjell Group AB OSTO:KJELL
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Kjell Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.02

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.09% mean?
Kjell Group AB (OSTO:KJELL) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.09% as of Aug. 16, 2026.
Is Kjell Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Kjell Group AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%. Overall, Kjell Group AB has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kjell Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to AAPL?
Kjell Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.09% can be compared against companies in the Hardware industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Hardware company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Kjell Group AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kjell Group AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kjell Group AB (OSTO:KJELL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr7.61, compared to a current price of kr13.40 — trading 76.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%. Kjell Group AB's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kjell Group AB (OSTO:KJELL), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09% as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kjell Group AB (OSTO:KJELL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kjell Group AB stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of kr13.40 is trading 76.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr7.61. GuruFocus considers Kjell Group AB to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for OSTO:KJELL:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.09%
  • GF Value™: kr7.61 vs. price of kr13.40 (76.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OSTO:KJELL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kjell Group AB Business Description

Address Box 50435, Malmo, SWE, 20214
Kjell Group AB offers one of the comprehensive assortment of electronic accessories on the market. The company operates online in Sweden which covers service point and online-generated sales from the legal Swedish company, Norway which covers service point and online-generated sales from the legal Norwegian company, and Denmark which covers online-generated sales from the legal Danish company. The company generates majority of revenue from Sweden.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OSTO:KJELL

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr13.40
Price
kr7.61
GF Value