Meds Apotek AB (publ) (OSTO:MEDS) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 50.00% (As of Jul. 21, 2026)

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OSTO:MEDS Meds Apotek AB (publ) OSTO:MEDS
11 GF Score
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! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Meds Apotek AB (publ) Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Meds Apotek AB (publ) OSTO:MEDS +18.31% 11 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates OSTO:MEDS with a GF Score™ of 11/100. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Meds Apotek AB (publ)  (OSTO:MEDS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Meds Apotek AB (publ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


OSTO:MEDS vs AMZN, BABA, PDD: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Meds Apotek AB (publ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


OSTO:MEDS
11GF Score
Meds Apotek AB (publ) OSTO:MEDS
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Meds Apotek AB (publ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% mean?
Meds Apotek AB (publ) (OSTO:MEDS) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% as of Jul. 21, 2026.
Is Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Overall, Meds Apotek AB (publ) has a GF Score™ of 11/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to AMZN and BABA?
Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Meds Apotek AB (publ) stock overvalued right now?
Meds Apotek AB (publ) (OSTO:MEDS) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Meds Apotek AB (publ)'s overall GF Score™ is 11/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Meds Apotek AB (publ) (OSTO:MEDS), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Meds Apotek AB (publ) Business Description

Address Elektravagen 26, Port 136, Hagersten, Stockholm, SWE, 12630
Meds Apotek AB (publ) is a full-scale online pharmacy that sells prescription and over-the-counter medicines with permission from the Medical Products Agency, the Swedish Food Agency and the E-Health Agency. The company's pharmacy products include everything in health, well-being, dietary supplements, beauty products, children's products, fitness products, food and drink and home & household products.
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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