Sensys Gatso Group AB (OSTO:SGG) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03% (As of Jul. 08, 2026)


OSTO:SGG Sensys Gatso Group AB OSTO:SGG
85 GF Score
Price kr46.45
GF Value kr71.80
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Sensys Gatso Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Sensys Gatso Group AB OSTO:SGG -2.31% 85 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates OSTO:SGG with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of kr71.80 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sensys Gatso Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sensys Gatso Group AB  (OSTO:SGG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sensys Gatso Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


OSTO:SGG vs COHR, KEYS, GRMN: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Sensys Gatso Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sensys Gatso Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Sensys Gatso Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sensys Gatso Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


OSTO:SGG
85GF Score
Sensys Gatso Group AB OSTO:SGG
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Sensys Gatso Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.21

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Sensys Gatso Group AB (OSTO:SGG) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jul. 08, 2026.
Is Sensys Gatso Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Sensys Gatso Group AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Sensys Gatso Group AB has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sensys Gatso Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to COHR and KEYS?
Sensys Gatso Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Hardware industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Hardware company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Sensys Gatso Group AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sensys Gatso Group AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sensys Gatso Group AB (OSTO:SGG) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is kr71.80, compared to a current price of kr46.45 — trading 35.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Sensys Gatso Group AB's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sensys Gatso Group AB (OSTO:SGG), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sensys Gatso Group AB (OSTO:SGG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sensys Gatso Group AB stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr46.45 is trading 35.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr71.80. GuruFocus considers Sensys Gatso Group AB to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for OSTO:SGG:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
  • GF Value™: kr71.80 vs. price of kr46.45 (35.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OSTO:SGG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sensys Gatso Group AB Business Description

Other Exchanges 0H0U:UK
Address Vasavagen 3c, Jonkoping, SWE, SE-554 54
Sensys Gatso Group AB is a Sweden-based company. It develops, produces, markets, and sells sensors and systems that are used for speed enforcement and red-light enforcement. The company also provides servicing and maintenance alongside sales of systems. Its products are used by police, road authorities, and private operators. The company operates in business segments of System Sales and Managed Service. The System Sales segment generates maximum revenue for the company. Its geographical segments are Europe, America, and Middle East and APAC.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OSTO:SGG

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr46.45
Price
kr71.80
GF Value