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Pharma-Bio Serv (Pharma-Bio Serv) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Pharma-Bio Serv Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Pharma-Bio Serv's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Pharma-Bio Serv's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Pharma-Bio Serv's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pharma-Bio Serv's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Pharma-Bio Serv's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pharma-Bio Serv's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Pharma-Bio Serv Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.34

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Pharma-Bio Serv  (OTCPK:PBSV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Pharma-Bio Serv Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Pharma-Bio Serv (Pharma-Bio Serv) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 6 Road 696, Pharma-Bio Serv Building, Dorado, PRI, 00646
Pharma-Bio Serv Inc is a compliance and technology transfer services consulting firm. It also provides microbiological testing services and chemical testing services through its laboratory testing facility in Puerto Rico. It has three reportable segments: Puerto Rico technical compliance consulting which is the key revenue driver; United States technical compliance consulting; and Europe technical compliance consulting. The company offers solutions to the pharmaceutical, chemical, biotechnology, medical devices, cosmetic and food industries, and allied products companies.
Executives
Elizabeth Plaza 10 percent owner 363 DORADO BEACH EAST, DORADO PR 00646
Altura Victor Sanchez officer: President and CEO C/O PHARMA-BIO SERV, INC., 6 ROAD 696, DORADO PR 00646
San Juan Holdings 10 percent owner 255 PONCE DE LEON, SUITE 305 MCS PLAZA, SAN JUAN PR 00917
Pedro J Lasanta officer: Chief Financial Officer 373 MENDEZ VIGO, STE 110, DORADO PR 00646
Dov Perlysky director 2 LAKESIDE DRIVE WEST, LAWRENCE NY 11559
L P Venturetek 10 percent owner C/O DAVID SELENGUT ELLENOFF GROSSMAN, 370 LEXINGTON AVENUE 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Barron Partners Lp 10 percent owner 730 FIFTH AVENUE, 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Manuel O Morera officer: Chief Financial Officer 373 MENDEZ VIGO, SUITE 110, DORADO PR 00646
Mark A Fazio officer: Exec. Vice President and COO P O BOX 1026 GREEN STREET, PERKASIE PA 18944
Kirk Wheeler Michel director 209 EAST TRYON STREET, HILLSBOROUGH NC 27278
Irving L Wiesen director 1273 NORTH AVENUE, APT 1E 7, NEW ROCHELLE NY 10804
Howard Spindel director 39 BROADWAY SUITE 3300, NEW YORK NY 10028
Nelida Plaza Rodriguez officer: Vice President and Secretary G11 CALLE MADRE PERLA URB, DORADO DEL MAR, DORADO PR 00646
Krovim Llc director, 10 percent owner, officer: Manager P.O. BOX 339, LAWRENCE NY 11559