GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Parks! America Inc (OTCPK:PRKA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

PRKA (Parks! America) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2002. Start your Free Trial

What is Parks! America Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Parks! America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Parks! America's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Leisure subindustry, Parks! America's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Parks! America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Parks! America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Parks! America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Parks! America Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.25

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Parks! America  (OTCPK:PRKA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Parks! America Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Parks! America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Parks! America Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1300 Oak Grove Road, Pine Mountain, GA, USA, 31822
Parks! America Inc through its subsidiaries involved in the business of acquiring, developing and operating local and regional theme parks and attractions in the United States. The company owns and operates Wild animal safari theme parks located in Pine mountain in the state of Georgia and Strafford in the state of Missouri in the United States. Its operating segment includes Georgia Park; Missouri Park and Texas Park. The company generates maximum revenue from the Georgia Park segment.
Executives
Todd R White officer: Chief Financial Officer 16600 N THOMPSON PEAK PKWY, #1069, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Focused Compounding Fund, Lp 10 percent owner 3838 OAK LAWN AVENUE, SUITE 1000, C/O FOCUSED COMPOUNDING CAPITAL MGMT, DALLAS TX 75219
Charles Kohnen director 5424 SPICE BUSH COURT, DAYTON OH 45429
Lisa Michelle Brady director 1007 DOCKWAY DRIVE, HURON OH 44839
Richard Ruffolo director C/O THE YANKEE CANDLE COMPANY, INC., 16 YANKEE CANDLE WAY, SOUTH DEERFIELD MA 01373
Focused Compounding Capital Management, Llc other: Investment Mgr of 10% Owner 1700 ALMA DRIVE, SUITE 460, PLANO TX 75075
Andrew Mitchel Kuhn other: Managing Member of IA 1700 ALMA DRIVE, SUITE 460, PLANO TX 75075
Geoffrey Harvey Gannon other: Managing Member of IA 1700 ALMA DRIVE, SUITE 460, PLANO TX 75075
Mark Alan Whitfield officer: Executive Vice President 1501 COPPERFIELD PARKWAY, APT 312, COLLEGE STATION TX 77845
Voorhis Dale Van director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 5684 PIONEER TRAIL, HIRAM OH 44234
Jeff Lococo director, officer: Secretary 4304 WALNUT CREEK LANE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
William S Jump director 485 OAK CREEK CLIFFS DRIVE, SEDONA AZ 86336
John Paul Gannon director 6040 KENTIGERN CT. SOUTH, DUBLIN OH 43017
Nicholas Aaron Parks 10 percent owner 5010 THORNBROOK RIDGE, COLUMBIA MO 65203
Jim Meikle director 208 S ACADEMY AVE, STE 130, EAGLE ID 83616