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Paratek Pharmaceuticals (Paratek Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Paratek Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Paratek Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Paratek Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:PRTK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Paratek Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Paratek Pharmaceuticals (Paratek Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
75 Park Plaza, 4th Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02116
Paratek Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The company's medical research is based on tetracycline chemistry and biology to create two antibacterials: omadacycline and sarecycline. NUZYRA (Omadacycline) is an antibacterial for skin infections and treatment of community-acquired bacterial pneumonia. SEYSARA (Sarecycline) is designed for use in the treatment of acne and rosacea. Paratek Pharmaceuticals is also involved in research to treat multiple sclerosis, spinal muscular atrophy, and systemic inflammatory diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis and inflammatory bowel diseases.
Executives
Minnie Baylor-henry director C/O SCPHARMACUETICALS, INC., 2400 DISTRICT AVENUE SUITE 310, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Kristine Peterson director AMARIN CORPORATION, MYSTIC PACKER BLDG., 12 ROOSEVELT AVENUE, MYSTIC CT 06355
Timothy R Franson director 320 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108
Jeffrey Stein director 6310 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 101, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Thomas John Dietz director C/O TRANSCEPT PHARMACEUTICAL, INC., 1003 W. CUTTING BLVD, STE 110, PT. RICHMOND CA 94804
Evan Loh director, officer: CEO 75 KNEELAND STREET, BOSTON MA 02111
William M. Haskel officer: CLO, General Counsel & Sec. ONE MEADOWLANDS PLAZA, EAST RUTHERFORD NJ 07073
Adam Woodrow officer: President & Chief Commercial C/O PARATEK PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 75 KNEELAND STREET, BOSTON MA 02111
Randall B. Brenner officer: Chief Development & Regulatory C/O PARATEK PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 75 PARK PLAZA, 4TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Robert S Radie director 101 LINDENWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 225, MALVERN PA 19355
Rolf K Hoffmann director LORBEERWEG 7, WEGGIS V8 CH-6353
Michael Bigham director, officer: Exec. Chairman of the Board 890 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
James D Dondero 10 percent owner 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Douglas W. Pagan officer: Chief Financial Officer 75 KNEELAND STREET, BOSTON MA 02111
Omega Fund Iv, L.p. 10 percent owner 888 BOYLSTON ST., SUITE 1111, BOSTON MA 02199

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