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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, uniQure NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
For the Biotechnology subindustry, uniQure NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, uniQure NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where uniQure NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
= | -6.55 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
= | 0.14% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
NIMTAAVG | = | Net Income | / | Market Total Assets |
= | Net Income | / | (Market Cap + Total Liabilities) |
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
TLMTA | = | Total Liabilities | / | Market Total Assets |
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
CASHMTA | = | Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities | / | Market Total Assets |
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
MB | = | Market Cap | / | Adjusted Book Equity |
= | Market Cap | / | (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity)) |
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
uniQure NV (NAS:QURE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of uniQure NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Matthew C Kapusta | director, officer: CEO, Managing Director | 7358 MCVAY ROAD, GERMANTOWN TN 38138 |
Christian Klemt | officer: Chief Financial Officer | PAASHEUVELWEG 25A, AMSTERDAM P7 1105 BP |
Walid Abi-saab | officer: Chief Medical Officer | C/O UNIQURE N.V., PAASHEUVELWEG 25A, AMSTERDAM P7 11058BP |
Pierre Caloz | officer: Chief Operating Officer | UNIQURE N.V., PAASHEUVELWEG 25A, AMSTERDAM P7 P7 11058BP |
Robert Gut | director | C/O VERSARTIS, INC., 4200 BOHANNON DRIVE, SUITE 250, MENLO PARK CA 94025 |
Madhavan Balachandran | director | C/O CATALENT, INC., 14 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, SOMERSET NJ 08873 |
Jeannette Potts | officer: See Remarks | C/O FORMA THERAPEUTICS HOLDINGS, INC., 500 ARSENAL STREET, SUITE 100, WATERTOWN MA 02472 |
Jeremy P. Springhorn | director | C/O UNIQUIRE N.V., 113 HARTWELL AVENUE, LEXINGTON MA 02421 |
Paula Soteropoulos | director | 49 WINONA STREET, PEABODY MA 01960 |
David D. Meek | director | 3000 KENT AVENUE; SUITE A1-100, WEST LAFAYETTE IN 47906 |
Jack Kaye | director | C/O KERYX BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, 750 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK X1 10022 |
Rachelle Suzanne Jacques | director | C/O CORBUS PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
Leonard E Post | director | |
Ricardo Dolmetsch | officer: President, R&D | 113 HARTWELL AVENUE, LEXINGTON MA 02421 |
Kuta Alexander Edward Iii | officer: Executive VP, Operations | 239 WILLIS ROAD, SUDBURY MA 01776 |
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