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Rebus Hldgs (Rebus Hldgs) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 79.01% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Rebus Hldgs Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Rebus Hldgs's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 79.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Rebus Hldgs's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Rebus Hldgs's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rebus Hldgs's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Rebus Hldgs's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rebus Hldgs's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Rebus Hldgs Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=1.33

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=79.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Rebus Hldgs  (OTCPK:RBSH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Rebus Hldgs Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Rebus Hldgs (Rebus Hldgs) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2629 Townsgate Road, Suite 215, Westlake Village, CA, USA, 91361
Rebus Hldgs Inc is an early-stage, pre-revenue, pharmaceutical company that is focused on the development of prodrug cancer therapeutics for the treatment of disease. The company along with its subsidiaries is engaged in the production of small-molecule adenosine receptor modulators. Adenosine is an extracellular signaling molecule that regulates multiple aspects of tissue function and specifically plays a role in immunity and inflammation.
Executives
John Robison Montgomery director 7647 BIRCHWOOD HILL RD, CROZET VA 22932
Richard E Buller director C/O CELCUITY INC., 16305 36TH AVE. N., #100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55446
Claire Thom director 31200 VIA COLINAS, #200, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91362
Ronald L Shazer officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O TRACON PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 8910 UNIVERSITY CENTER LANE, STE 700, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Christopher P. Lowe director, officer: President and CEO 2511 N LOOP 1604,, SUITE 204, SAN ANTONIO TX 78258
Scott Varde Ogilvie director 10880 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 950, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Bo Jesper Hansen director BIRKENWEG 16, MEGGEN V8 6045
Peter E Grebow director 41 MOORES ROAD, FRAZER PA 19355
Craig A Dionne director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO,CFO, President 9901 IH 10 WEST, SUITE 800, SAN ANTONIO TX 78230
Russell Richerson 10 percent owner, officer: COO, Secretary 2511 N LOOP 1604 W, SUITE 204, SAN ANTONIO TX 78258
Kihong Kwon 10 percent owner 1015 E. CHAPMAN AVE, SUITE 201, FULLERTON CA 92831