GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Rice Acquisition Corp (NYSE:RICE.U) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Rice Acquisition (Rice Acquisition) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Rice Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Rice Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Rice Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Rice Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Rice Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Rice Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rice Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Rice Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Rice Acquisition  (NYSE:RICE.U) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Rice Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Rice Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Rice Acquisition (Rice Acquisition) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Rice Acquisition Corp (NYSE:RICE.U) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
102 East Main Street, Second Story, Carnegie, PA, USA, 15106
Website
https://www.ricespac.com
Rice Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Edward P. Taibi officer: GC, EVP Strat Init & Gov Aff 35 EAST 62ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10065
Brian F Mccarthy officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O RICE ACQUISITION, 500 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, 2ND FLOOR, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Ares Management Corp director, 10 percent owner 2000 AVE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Archaea Energy Llc 10 percent owner 500 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SECOND FLOOR, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Shalennial Fund I, L.p. 10 percent owner 102 EAST MAIN STREET, SECOND STORY, CARNEGIE PA 15106
Richard Walton officer: President C/O RICE ACQUISITION, 500 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, 2ND FLOOR, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Nicholas Stork director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O RICE ACQUISITION, 500 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, 2ND FLOOR, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Lindsay Ellis officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O RICE ACQUISITION, 500 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, 2ND FLOOR, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Chad Bellah officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O RICE ACQUISITION, 500 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, 2ND FLOOR, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Eif Us Power Iv, Llc director, 10 percent owner 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Eif Us Power Iii, Llc director, 10 percent owner 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Aria Renewable Energy Systems Llc director, 10 percent owner 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Scott Parkes director C/O ARES MANAGEMENT CORP., 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ares Eif Management, Llc director, 10 percent owner 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
United States Power Fund Iii, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067