RMR (The RMR Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 11, 2024)

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What is The RMR Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The RMR Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of The RMR Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, The RMR Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The RMR Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, The RMR Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The RMR Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

The RMR Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.22

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

The RMR Group (NAS:RMR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

The RMR Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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The RMR Group Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » The RMR Group Inc (NAS:RMR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

26R:Germany

Address

255 Washington Street, Suite 300, Two Newton Place, Newton, MA, USA, 02458-1634

Website

https://www.rmrgroup.com

The RMR Group Inc is a holding company that conducts its business through its subsidiary, which is an alternative asset management company that invests in real estate and manages real estate-related businesses. Its business consists of providing management services to publicly owned real estate investment trusts, or REITs, and real estate-related operating companies. It also provides management services to real estate securities mutual funds and commercial real estate finance companies. The company's operating segment is RMR LLC and All Other Operations. The RMR Group derives its revenue from providing business and property management services as well as advisory and other services.

Executives

Christopher J. Bilotto	officer: Exec. VP of The RMR Group LLC	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Jennifer F. Mintzer	officer: Exec. VP of The RMR Group LLC	C/O DIVERSIFIED HEALTHCARE TRUST, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASHINGTON STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Jonathan Veitch	director	TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Jonathan Pertchik	officer: Exec. VP of The RMR Group LLC	C/O TRAVELCENTERS OF AMERICA INC., 24601 CENTER RIDGE ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Andrew J Rebholz	officer: Exec. VP of The RMR Group LLC	C/O TRAVELCENTERS OF AMERICA LLC, 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Rosen Plevneliev	director	THE RMR GROUP INC., TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Frederick N Zeytoonjian	director	C/O REIT MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Watkins Walter C. Jr.	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP INC., TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, NEWTON MA 02458-1634
Ann Logan	director	C/O PHH CORPORATION, 3000 LEADENHALL RD, MOUNT LAUREL NJ 08054
John G. Murray	officer: Exec. VP of The RMR Group LLC	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Thomas M O'brien	officer: Exec. VP of The RMR Group LLC	308 DORLA COURT, SUITE 206, ZEPHYR COVE NV 89448
David M Blackman	officer: Exec. VP of The RMR Group LLC	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Mackey Bruce J Jr	officer: Exec. VP of The RMR Group LLC	C/O FIVE STAR QUALITY CARE, INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Matthew P. Jordan	officer: CFO and Treasurer	C/O THE RMR GROUP INC., TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458-1634
Senior Housing Properties Trust	10 percent owner	C/O THE RMR GROUP, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458