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RNAC (Cartesian Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.43% (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Cartesian Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cartesian Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.43%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cartesian Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Cartesian Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cartesian Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Cartesian Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cartesian Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cartesian Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.43%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cartesian Therapeutics  (NAS:RNAC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cartesian Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cartesian Therapeutics Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
704 Quince Orchard Road, Gaithersburg, MD, USA, 20878
Cartesian Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The company uses its ImmTOR immune tolerance platform, which is designed to give rise to antigen-specific immunity, mitigating unwanted immune responses. It leverages its proprietary technology and manufacturing platform to introduce one or more mRNA molecules into cells to enhance their function. Unlike DNA, mRNA degrades naturally over time without integrating into the cell's genetic material.
Executives
Timothy A Springer director 36 WOODMAN ROAD, CHESTNUT HILL MA 02467
Timothy C Barabe director C/O ARQULE, INC., 1 WALL STREET, 6TH FLOOR, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Carsten Brunn director, officer: President & CEO C/O SELECTA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 480 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Peter G Traber officer: Chief Medical Officer 430 THAMER LANE, HOUSTON TX 77025
Takashi Kei Kishimoto officer: Chief Scientific Officer 480 ARSENAL ST., BUILDING ONE, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Lloyd P. Johnston officer: COO and SVP, R&D 480 ARSENAL ST., BUILDING ONE, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Blaine Davis officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ARTARA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 1 LITTLE WEST 12TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10014
Carrie Smith Cox director SCHERING-PLOUGH CORPORATION, 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, KENILWORTH NJ 07033
Kevin Tan officer: Chief Financial Officer 20 HICKORY ROAD, WELLESLEY MA 02482
Nishan M Desilva director 11119 NORTH TORREY PINES RD STE 200, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Ann K. Donohue officer: VP Finance C/O SELECTA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 480 ARSENAL WAY, BUILDING ONE, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Bradford D. Dahms officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SELECTA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 480 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Goran Ando director
Scott Dunseth Myers director C/O CASCADIAN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3101 WESTERN AVE., SUITE 600, SEATTLE WA 98121
Elona Esq. Kogan officer: General Counsel C/O SEER, INC., 3800 BRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 102, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065