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Ranger Energy Services (Ranger Energy Services) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Ranger Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ranger Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Ranger Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, Ranger Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ranger Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ranger Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ranger Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Ranger Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Ranger Energy Services  (NYSE:RNGR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ranger Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Ranger Energy Services (Ranger Energy Services) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10350 Richmond, Suite 550, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Ranger Energy Services Inc is a provider of onshore high specification (high-spec) well service rigs, wireline services, and additional processing solutions and ancillary services in the United States. It offers a range of well site services to leading U.S. exploration and production (E&P) companies that are fundamental to establishing and enhancing the flow of oil and natural gas throughout the productive life of a well. The segments of the group are High Specification Rigs, Wireline Services and Processing Solutions and Ancillary Services, of which key revenue is derived from High Specification Rigs segment.
Executives
Charles S. Leykum director, 10 percent owner 1000 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 3850, HOUSTON TX 77002
Stuart Bodden director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 10350 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 550, HOUSTON TX 77042
Melissa Cougle officer: Chief Financial Officer 777 POST OAK BLVD., 7TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77056
J. Matt Hooker officer: Chief Operating Officer 800 GESSNER STREET, SUITE 1000, HOUSTON TX 77024
Byron A Dunn director C/O HARVEST NATURAL RESOURCES, INC., 1177 ENCLAVE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77077
William M Austin director C/O KEY ENERGY SERVICES, INC., 1301 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 1800, HOUSTON TX 77010
Dialectic Geronimo Manager Llc 10 percent owner 119 ROWAYTON AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06853
John Fichthorn 10 percent owner C/O DIALECTIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 17 STATE STREET, SUITE 3930, NEW YORK NY 10004
Dialectic Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 2ND FLOOR 119 ROWAYTON AVE, NORWALK CT 06853
Dialectic Geronimo Spv Llc 10 percent owner 119 ROWAYTON AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, NORWALK CT 06853
Dialectic Capital Management, Lp 10 percent owner 119 ROWAYTON AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, NORWALK CT 06853
Wde Pws Aggregate, Llc 10 percent owner C/O WHITE DEER MANAGEMENT LLC, 700 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 4770, HOUSTON TX 77002
Thomas J Edelman 10 percent owner 777 MAIN STREET SUITE 2500, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Edelman & Guill Energy Ltd. 10 percent owner 700 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 4770, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ben A Guill 10 percent owner 600 TRAVIS, SUITE 6000, HOUSTON TX 77002