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RespireRx Pharmaceuticals (RespireRx Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 7.09% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is RespireRx Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, RespireRx Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 7.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of RespireRx Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, RespireRx Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


RespireRx Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, RespireRx Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where RespireRx Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



RespireRx Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-2.57

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=7.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


RespireRx Pharmaceuticals  (OTCPK:RSPI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


RespireRx Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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RespireRx Pharmaceuticals (RespireRx Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
126 Valley Road, Suite C, Glen Rock, NJ, USA, 07452
RespireRx Pharmaceuticals Inc is engaged in the discovery, development, and commercialization of pharmaceuticals for the treatment of neurological and psychiatric disorders. The pipeline products of the company are dronabinol which is developed for the treatment of OSA (Obstructive Sleep Apnea), a form of sleep apnea; CX1739 for the treatment of chronic central sleep apnea; CX717 and CX1942 is an injectable dosage for respiratory depression or vaso-occlusive passes associated with sickle cell disease. The company also focuses on developing another class of compounds called ampakines for the treatment of various respiratory disorders.
Executives
David Dickason officer: SVP of Pre-Clinical Prod. Dev. 126 VALLEY ROAD, SUITE C, GLEN ROCK NJ 07452
Timothy L. Jones director, officer: CEO and President 126 VALLEY ROAD, SUITE C, GLEN ROCK NJ 07452
Manuso James S J director, officer: President & CEO 5130 ROUTE 212, WILLOW NY 12495
Katie Macfarlane director 101 POOR FARM ROAD 3RD FLOOR, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Purcell Richard David Jr. officer: SVP - Research & Deleopment 65 FAIR HAVEN ROAD, FAIR HAVEN NJ 07704
James Sapirstein director 1517 SAN JACINTO, HOUSTON TX 77002
Marc M Radin officer: Controller 33 FRANKLIN PLACE, GLEN ROCK NJ 07452
Robert N Weingarten director, officer: Vice President and CFO 5439 LOCKHURST DRIVE, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Aurora Capital Llc other: Member of a 10% owner group 354 WIDOW GAVITS ROAD, PO BOX 1167, BRIDGEHAMPTON, NY 11932-1167
Aurora Capital Corp other: Member of 10% owner group
Jeff Eliot Margolis director, officer: Vice President, Sec. & Treas., other: Member of 10% owner group C/O AURORA CAPITAL LLC, 17 PARK AVENUE, #201, NEW YORK NY 10016
Steven Chizzik other: Member of 10% owner group C/O THE VERRAZANO GROUP, LLC, 2204 MORRIS AVENUE, SUITE 203A, UNION NJ 07083
Arnold Lippa director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President, other: Member of 10% owner group C/O AURORA CAPITAL, LLC, 17 PARK AVENUE, #201, NEW YORK NY 10016
T. Morgen Capital Llc other: Member of 10% owner group C/O AURORA CAPITAL LLC, 17 PARK AVENUE, #201, NEW YORK NY 10016
Kenneth M Cohen other: Member of 10% owner group 12750 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 310, SAN DIEGO CA 92130

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