King Wan (SGX:554) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.33% (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


What is King Wan Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

King Wan SGX:554 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.33% as of Jun. 28, 2026. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, King Wan's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.33%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

King Wan  (SGX:554) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

King Wan Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

SGX:554 vs PWR, FIX, EME: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, King Wan's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

King Wan Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, King Wan's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where King Wan's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


King Wan Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.72

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.33%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.33% mean?
King Wan (SGX:554) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.33% as of Jun. 28, 2026.
Is King Wan's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
King Wan's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.33%.
How does King Wan's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to PWR and FIX?
King Wan's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.33% can be compared against companies in the Construction industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Construction company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Construction industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. King Wan's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.33%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is King Wan stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, King Wan (SGX:554) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is S$0.01, compared to a current price of S$0.05 — trading 400% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.33%. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For King Wan (SGX:554), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.33% as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

King Wan Business Description

Address 8 Sungei Kadut Loop, Singapore, SGP, 729455
King Wan Corp Ltd engages in the provision of mechanical and electrical engineering services for the building and construction industry. It operates in five segments. The Plumbing and Sanitary segment provides services comprising the design and installation of water distribution systems and pipe networks for sewage and wastewater drainage. The electrical segment focuses on the electrical engineering services that design and install electricity distribution systems, fire protection, alarm systems, and security systems. The toilet rental segment consists of the rental and operation of mobile lavatories. The investment holding segment consists of investments in associates and joint ventures. Others segment involves other activities that do not fall into the activities of the other segments.