Kingsmen Creatives (SGX:5MZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Aug. 10, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SGX:5MZ Kingsmen Creatives Ltd SGX:5MZ
58 GF Score
Price S$0.54
GF Value S$0.33
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Kingsmen Creatives Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Kingsmen Creatives SGX:5MZ -1.82% 58 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus rates SGX:5MZ with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of S$0.33 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kingsmen Creatives's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kingsmen Creatives  (SGX:5MZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kingsmen Creatives Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


SGX:5MZ vs VRSK, EFX, BAH: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Kingsmen Creatives's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kingsmen Creatives Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Kingsmen Creatives's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kingsmen Creatives's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


SGX:5MZ
58GF Score
Kingsmen Creatives Ltd SGX:5MZ
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Kingsmen Creatives Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.10

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Kingsmen Creatives (SGX:5MZ) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Aug. 10, 2026.
Is Kingsmen Creatives' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Kingsmen Creatives' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Kingsmen Creatives has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kingsmen Creatives' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to VRSK and EFX?
Kingsmen Creatives' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Business Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Kingsmen Creatives's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kingsmen Creatives stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kingsmen Creatives (SGX:5MZ) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is S$0.33, compared to a current price of S$0.54 — trading 63.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Kingsmen Creatives' overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kingsmen Creatives (SGX:5MZ), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kingsmen Creatives (SGX:5MZ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kingsmen Creatives stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of S$0.54 is trading 63.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of S$0.33. GuruFocus considers Kingsmen Creatives to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SGX:5MZ:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: S$0.33 vs. price of S$0.54 (63.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SGX:5MZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kingsmen Creatives Business Description

Other Exchanges KMNCF:USA
Address 22 Changi Business Park Central 2, The Kingsmen Experience, Singapore, SGP, 486032
Kingsmen Creatives Ltd principal activities are investment holding and the provision of corporate marketing and other related services. It operates in five business segments which are Exhibitions, Thematic and Attractions relates to the production of exhibition displays for trade shows; Retail and corporate interior relates to the provision of interior fitting-out services to retail and commercial properties; Research and Design relates to design work for upmarket specialty stores, department stores; Experiential marketing relates to event management, branding consultancy services; Corporate and other relates to Group-level corporate services of which majority of revenue comes from Exhibitions, Thematic and Attractions. Geographically the majority of revenue comes from South Asia.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SGX:5MZ

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

S$0.54
Price
S$0.33
GF Value