Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (SHSE:600380) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Jun. 20, 2024)

View and export this data going back to 2001. Start your Free Trial

What is Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-9.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (SHSE:600380) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (SHSE:600380) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Ltd (SHSE:600380) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

No. 17 Langshan Road, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Building, Nanshan New and High-Tech Industrial Development (, Shenzhen, Guangdong, CHN, 518057

Website

http://www.joincare.com

Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Ltd is an integrated pharmaceutical company, the business scope covers healthcare products, APIs, final dosage forms, prescription drugs, OTCs, Chinese traditional medicine, chemical drugs, and testing agents. APIs are antibiotic series and their intermediates 7ACA, 4AA and F9. Prescription drugs focus on the realms of the digestive tract, a blood vessel of heart and brain, infection, tumor, nervous cerebrovascular section, urinary system etc. OTCs include gastrointestinal drug Dele-Livzon, Live Bifidobacterium Preparation, oral ulcer drugs Yiketie, cold medicine Antiviral Oral Granule, External use skin medicine.

Executives

Yu Xiong	Directors, senior managers
Zhao Feng Guang	senior management
Qiu Qing Feng	Directors, senior managers
Tang Ling Zhi	senior management
Lin Nan Qi	Directors, senior managers
Cao Ping Wei	Director
Feng Yan Fang	Director
Zhong Shan	senior management
Yang Dong Yun	senior management
Peng Jin Hua	Supervisors
Xie You Guo	Supervisors
Guo Xiao Yun	Supervisors
Su Qing Wen	senior management

Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (SHSE:600380) Headlines

No Headlines