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Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co (SHSE:688077) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Mar. 04, 2025)


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What is Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co  (SHSE:688077) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Lujiang High-tech Industrial Development Zone, Anhui, Hefei, CHN, 231500
Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co Ltd is engaged in production and sales of sintered NdFeB permanent magnet materials. Its products are sintered NdFeb magnet, bonded NdFeb magnet, rubber magnet, samarium cobalt magnet. Its products are used in various applications such as information, national defense, automobiles, wind power, various types of motors, instruments, medical equipments, magnetic machinery and various other fields.
Executives
Wang Zi Yi senior management
Liu Ming Hui senior management
Dong Xue Chun Directors, senior managers
Tan Xin Bo Directors, senior managers
Zhou Zhi Guo Core technical personnel
Wang Yong Dong Supervisors
Mo Kun Peng Supervisors
Chen Jing Wu Senior management, core technical personnel
Yi Xiao Fei Directors, senior managers, core technical personn
Liu You Hao Supervisors, core technical personnel
Cao Qing Xiang Director
Xiong Yong Fei Directors, senior managers

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