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SHWZ (Medicine Man Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 100.00% (As of Mar. 15, 2025)


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What is Medicine Man Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Medicine Man Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 100.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Medicine Man Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Pharmaceutical Retailers subindustry, Medicine Man Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Medicine Man Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Medicine Man Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Medicine Man Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Medicine Man Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=130.83

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=100.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Medicine Man Technologies  (OTCPK:SHWZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Medicine Man Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Medicine Man Technologies Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
865 N. Albion Street, Suite 300, Denver, CO, USA, 80220
Medicine Man Technologies Inc is a vertically integrated multi-state cannabis operator focused on growth through expansion into existing and new markets. The Company's business involves the cultivation, manufacturing, distribution, and retail sale of cannabis and cannabis-related products. The Company sells products it manufactures and cultivates and a variety of other cannabis goods through wholly-owned retail stores, licensing arrangements, and/or third-party operators and retailers. Its operations are organized into three different segments: Retail, consisting of retail locations for sale of cannabis products; Wholesale, consisting of manufacturing, cultivation, and sale of both wholesale cannabis and non-cannabis products; and Other, consisting of all other income and expenses.
Executives
Daniel Pabon officer: General Counsel 4880 HAVANA STREET, SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80212
Christine Jones officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4880 HAVANA ST., SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Forrest Hoffmaster officer: CFO C/O MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4880 HAVANA ST., SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Nirup Krishnamurthy director, officer: President 4880 HAVANA STREET, SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Kathy P Vrabeck director 625 WESTPORT PARKWAY, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
Jeff Garwood director 55 TABBY CIRCLE, DAUFUSKIE ISLAND SC 29915
Pratap Chandra Mukharji director 4880 HAVANA STREET, SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Salim Husan Wahdan director 4880 HAVANA ST., STE. 201, DENVER CO 80239
Paul Joseph Montalbano director 4880 HAVANA ST., STE. 201, DENVER CO 80239
Brad Stewart director C/O SEMPER PARATUS ACQUISITION CORP., 767 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Justin Dye director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO C/O MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4880 HAVANA STREET, SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Jeffrey Alley Cozad director, 10 percent owner C/O MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4880 HAVANA ST., SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Crw Capital Holdings Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 4740 W. MOCKINGBIRD LANE, STE 195579, DALLAS TX 75209
Crw Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 4740 W. MOCKINGBIRD LANE, P.O. BOX 195579, DALLAS TX 75209
Crw Capital Cann Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 4740 W. MOCKINGBIRD LANE, P.O. BOX 195579, DALLAS TX 75209