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SKYT (SkyWater Technology) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.10% (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is SkyWater Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, SkyWater Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of SkyWater Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, SkyWater Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SkyWater Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, SkyWater Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SkyWater Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



SkyWater Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.86

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


SkyWater Technology  (NAS:SKYT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


SkyWater Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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SkyWater Technology Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2401 East 86th Street, Bloomington, MN, USA, 55425
SkyWater Technology Inc is a U.S.-based, independent, pure-play technology foundry that offers semiconductor development and manufacturing services from its fabrication facilities. In its technology as a service model, it leverages a foundation of proprietary technology, engineering to co-develop process technology intellectual property (IP) with its customers that enable disruptive concepts through its Technology Services for diverse microelectronics (integrated circuits) and related micro- and nanotechnology applications. It focuses on serving diversified, high-growth, end users in numerous vertical markets, including computation, aerospace and defense (A&D), automotive and transportation, bio-health, and industrial.
Executives
John Sakamoto officer: President and COO 2401 EAST 86TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Loren A Unterseher director, 10 percent owner 8799 BROOKLYN BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55445
Nancy Fares director 2401 EAST 86TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Gregory B Graves director 129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Thomas Sonderman director, officer: President & CEO 16 JONSPIN ROAD, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Christopher Hilberg officer: Chief Legal Officer 2401 EAST 86TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Edward Daly director 2401 EAST 86TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Steve Manko officer: CFO 2401 EAST 86TH ST, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Bradley Ferguson officer: Chief Govt Affairs Officer 2401 EAST 86TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Steve Kosier officer: Chief Technology Officer 2401 EAST 86TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Amanda Daniel officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 2401 EAST 86TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Mark Litecky officer: Chief Revenue Officer 2401 EAST 86TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Ddk Developments, L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O BART L. ZIBROWSKI, 740 SADDLE WOOD DRIVE, EAGAN MN 55123
Bart L Zibrowski 10 percent owner 740 SADDLE WOOD DRIVE, EAGAN MN 55123
John T Kurtzweil director C/O CIRRUS LOGIC, INC., 2901 VIA FORTUNA, AUSTIN TX 78746