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Stryve Foods (Stryve Foods) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 7.11% (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Stryve Foods Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Stryve Foods's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 7.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Stryve Foods's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Stryve Foods's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Stryve Foods's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Stryve Foods's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stryve Foods's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Stryve Foods Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-2.57

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=7.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Stryve Foods  (NAS:SNAX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Stryve Foods Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Stryve Foods (Stryve Foods) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5801 Tennyson Parkway, Suite 275, Plano, TX, USA, 75024
Stryve Foods Inc is focused on manufacturing and marketing highly differentiated healthy snacks that disrupt traditional snacking categories. It offers convenient snacks that are lower in sugar and carbohydrates and higher in protein than other snacks. Stryve offers all-natural, delicious snacks which it believes are a nutritious and conveniently healthy snacking option for on-the-go lives.
Executives
Christopher J. Boever director, officer: CEO C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
B. Luke Weil director CARRERA 10 NO. 28-49, TORRE A. OFICINA 20-05, BOGOTA F8 XXXXX
Kevin Vivian director 5801 TENNYSON PKWY SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024
Mauricio Orellana director 250 WEST 57TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10107
Alex Hawkins officer: CFO 5801 TENNYSON PKWY SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024
Chris Whitehair director 7301 OHMS LANE SUITE 600, EDINA MN 55439
Ramsey Robert D. Iii director 5801 TENNYSON PKWY SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024
Ted Casey director 5801 TENNYSON PKWY SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024
Gregory Stephen Christenson director 500 WEST 5TH STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
Joe A Oblas director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 65 INVERNESS DRIVE EAST, SUITE 105, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Charles D Vogt director TEKELEC, 26580 WEST AGOURA ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91302
Efrem Kamen 10 percent owner C/O PURA VIDA INVESTMENTS, LLC, 512 W 22ND STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Pura Vida Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 512 W 22ND STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Jaxie S. Alt director, officer: Co-CEO & CMO 5301 LEGACY DRIVE, PLANO TX 75024
Stryve Foods Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 5801 TENNYSON PARKWAY, SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024