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Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP (Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP  (AMEX:SNMP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP (Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1360 Post Oak Boulevard, Suite 2400, Houston, TX, USA, 77056
Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP is focused on the acquisition, development, and ownership of infrastructure critical to the transition of energy supply to lower carbon sources. It owns natural gas gathering systems, pipelines, and processing facilities in South Texas and continues to pursue energy transition infrastructure opportunities. It generates revenue from Gathering and transportation lease revenues.
Executives
Stonepeak Gp Holdings Lp 10 percent owner 55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 W. 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Holdings Lp 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Upper Holdings Lp 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Holdings Manager Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
David D Kinder director 510 BERING DRIVE, SUITE 220, HOUSTON TX 77057
Michael A Heim director TARGA RESOURCES PARTNERS LP, 1000 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 4300, HOUSTON TX 77002
Michael A. Keuss officer: President / Chief Oper. Off. 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Randall L. Gibbs director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Hartigan Jonathan C. M. officer: President / Chief Invest. Off. 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Gerald F Willinger director 1360 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Stonepeak Texas Midstream Holdco Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sanchez Antonio R Iii director, 10 percent owner 1360 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Michael Bricker director 55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 W 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sp Common Equity Subsidiary Llc 10 percent owner 1360 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Steen John T Iii director 55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 W 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001

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