Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP (Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2006. Start your Free Trial

What is Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP (Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP (AMEX:SNMP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1360 Post Oak Boulevard, Suite 2400, Houston, TX, USA, 77056

Website

https://www.evolvetransition.com

Evolve Transition Infrastructure LP is focused on the acquisition, development, and ownership of infrastructure critical to the transition of energy supply to lower carbon sources. It owns natural gas gathering systems, pipelines, and processing facilities in South Texas and continues to pursue energy transition infrastructure opportunities. It generates revenue from Gathering and transportation lease revenues.

Executives

Stonepeak Gp Holdings Lp	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 W. 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Holdings Lp	10 percent owner, other: See Remarks	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Upper Holdings Lp	10 percent owner, other: See Remarks	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Holdings Manager Llc	10 percent owner, other: See Remarks	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
David D Kinder	director	510 BERING DRIVE, SUITE 220, HOUSTON TX 77057
Michael A Heim	director	TARGA RESOURCES PARTNERS LP, 1000 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 4300, HOUSTON TX 77002
Michael A. Keuss	officer: President / Chief Oper. Off.	1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Randall L. Gibbs	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Hartigan Jonathan C. M.	officer: President / Chief Invest. Off.	1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Gerald F Willinger	director	1360 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Stonepeak Texas Midstream Holdco Llc	10 percent owner, other: See Remarks	550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sanchez Antonio R Iii	director, 10 percent owner	1360 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Michael Bricker	director	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 W 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sp Common Equity Subsidiary Llc	10 percent owner	1360 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Steen John T Iii	director	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 W 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001