Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Hikari Heights-Varus Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Hikari Heights-Varus Co (SSE:2137) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Hikari Heights-Varus Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
SSE:2137 vs HCA, THC, DVA: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Hikari Heights-Varus Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Hikari Heights-Varus Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry
For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Hikari Heights-Varus Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Hikari Heights-Varus Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Hikari Heights-Varus Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.55
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Hikari Heights-Varus Co (SSE:2137) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jul. 16, 2026.
Is Hikari Heights-Varus Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Hikari Heights-Varus Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Hikari Heights-Varus Co has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hikari Heights-Varus Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to HCA and THC?
Hikari Heights-Varus Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Healthcare Providers & Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Hikari Heights-Varus Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hikari Heights-Varus Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hikari Heights-Varus Co (SSE:2137) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円730.38, compared to a current price of 円700.00 — trading 4.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Hikari Heights-Varus Co's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hikari Heights-Varus Co (SSE:2137), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Hikari Heights-Varus Co (SSE:2137) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hikari Heights-Varus Co stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of 円700.00 is trading 4.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円730.38.
GuruFocus considers Hikari Heights-Varus Co to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for SSE:2137:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
GF Value™: 円730.38 vs. price of 円700.00 (4.2% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SSE:2137 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Hikari Heights-Varus Co Ltd is a Japanese firm engaged in operating senior homes. It operates nursing homes for the elderly. The company provides rooms for healthy elderly as well as ones requiring assisted living.
58GF Score
Get the complete analysis for SSE:2137
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
SSE:2137 has been successfully added to your 
