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Smartstop Self Storage REIT (Smartstop Self Storage REIT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.20% (As of May. 31, 2024)


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What is Smartstop Self Storage REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Smartstop Self Storage REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.20%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Smartstop Self Storage REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, Smartstop Self Storage REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Smartstop Self Storage REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Smartstop Self Storage REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Smartstop Self Storage REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Smartstop Self Storage REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.21

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.20%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Smartstop Self Storage REIT  (OTCPK:STSFF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Smartstop Self Storage REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Smartstop Self Storage REIT (Smartstop Self Storage REIT) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
10 Terrace Road, Ladera Ranch, CA, USA, 92694
Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc operates as a real estate investment trust. The trust owns, acquires, and operates self-storage properties. It operates in two segments namely, self-storage operations and managed REIT platform business. The investment objective is to focus on investing in self-storage facilities and related self-storage real estate investments that are expected to support sustainable stockholder distributions over the long term. The rental income was concentrated in Florida, California, and the Greater Toronto Area of Canada.
Executives
Wayne Johnson officer: President and CIO 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Michael Mcclure officer: Chief Executive Officer 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Paula M. Mathews director 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Joseph H Robinson officer: Chief Operations Officer 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Harold Perry director 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
James L. Berg officer: Former Secretary 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Michael O Terjung officer: Chief Accounting Officer 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Gerald Valle officer: SVP, Self-Storage Operations 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
James R. Barry officer: CFO and Treasurer 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Nicholas Look officer: General Counsel and Secretary 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
David J Mueller director 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Matt F Lopez officer: Chief Financial Officer 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
William H Brownfield director 111 CORPORATE DRIVE, SUITE 120, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
Timothy S. Morris director 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694
H. Michael Schwartz director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President 10 TERRACE ROAD, LADERA RANCH CA 92694

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