MBB SE (STU:MBB) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


STU:MBB MBB SE STU:MBB
93 GF Score
Price €172.40
GF Value €132.47
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is MBB SE Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

MBB SE STU:MBB -4.22% 93 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:MBB with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of €132.47 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, MBB SE's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MBB SE  (STU:MBB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MBB SE Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


STU:MBB vs HON, MMM: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, MBB SE's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MBB SE Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, MBB SE's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MBB SE's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


STU:MBB
93GF Score
MBB SE STU:MBB
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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MBB SE Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.98

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
MBB SE (STU:MBB) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is MBB SE's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
MBB SE's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, MBB SE has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MBB SE's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to HON and MMM?
MBB SE's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Conglomerates industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Conglomerates company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. MBB SE's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MBB SE stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MBB SE (STU:MBB) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €132.47, compared to a current price of €172.40 — trading 30.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. MBB SE's overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MBB SE (STU:MBB), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MBB SE (STU:MBB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MBB SE stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €172.40 is trading 30.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of €132.47. GuruFocus considers MBB SE to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:MBB:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: €132.47 vs. price of €172.40 (30.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:MBB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MBB SE Business Description

Other Exchanges MBBd:UK0J7X:UKMBB:Germany
Address Kurfurstendamm 188, Berlin, BB, DEU, 10707
MBB SE is a medium-sized, family-owned company specializing in the acquisition and management of medium-sized industrial companies with considerable technology and engineering expertise. It concentrates on energy transition, e-mobility, cybersecurity, and ecological materials through its subsidiaries. The MBB Group comprises the following reportable segments: Friedrich Vorwerk, Aumann, DTS, Delignit. Aumann AG: Specialized in e-mobility and automation, Friedrich Vorwerk: Focused on energy infrastructure, including gas, power grids, and hydrogen. DTS IT AG: Provides cybersecurity and cloud computing services. Delignit AG: Produces ecological hardwood-based materials and Hanke Tissue: Produces consumer goods like mattresses and tissue paper.
93GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:MBB

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€172.40
Price
€132.47
GF Value