What is Polycom Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Polycom's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Polycom's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Polycom's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Polycom's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Polycom's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Polycom's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Polycom Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Polycom (STU:PLY) Business Description
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Polycom Inc was incorporated in December 1990 in Delaware. The Company provides an open, standards-based unified communications and collaboration (UC&C) solutions for voice, video and content collaboration solutions. Its solutions are powered by the Polycom RealPresence Platform, comprehensive software infrastructure and rich application programming interfaces (APIs) that interoperate with a set of communication, business, mobile, and cloud applications and devices to deliver secure face-to-face video collaboration across different environments. The Company is engaged in helping organizations achieve new levels of teamwork, efficiency and productivity by unleashing the power of human collaboration. The Company sells its solutions through a high-touch sales model that leverages its network of channel partners, including distributors, value-added resellers, system integrators; communications services providers, and retailers. The Company serves in three geographical segments; Americas, EMEA and APAC. Its products and solutions are; UC Group Systems, which includes immersive telepresence, group video and group voice systems. UC Platform, which includes collaboration servers, virtualization management "distributed media optimization", resource management, recording and streaming, open API's and remote access technologies that constitute the RealPresence Platform, and UC Personal Devices, which includes desktop video devices and desktop voice products. It competes in the UC&C market with products and solutions that enable voice, video and content collaboration on-premises, across intranets, extranets, mobile devices, and the Internet via its customer premises-based RealPresence Platform, web-based social-collaboration business platforms, and video collaboration-as-a-service offerings delivered from the cloud. These competitors include but are not limited to Cisco Systems, Inc., Acano, Avaya Inc., Blue Jeans Networks, Inc., ClearOne Communications, Inc., Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd., Logitech International S.A./LifeSize, PexIP, Snom Technology Ag, Vidyo, Inc., Yamaha Corporation/Revolabs, Inc., Yealink, ZTE Corporation and others. Its products and services are subject to various federal, state, local, and foreign laws and regulations.
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