Sunlight Financial Holdings (Sunlight Financial Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is Sunlight Financial Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sunlight Financial Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Sunlight Financial Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Sunlight Financial Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Sunlight Financial Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Sunlight Financial Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sunlight Financial Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Sunlight Financial Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Sunlight Financial Holdings (OTCPK:SUNLQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Sunlight Financial Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sunlight Financial Holdings (Sunlight Financial Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Credit Services » Sunlight Financial Holdings Inc (OTCPK:SUNLQ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

101 North Tryon Street, Suite 1000, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28246

Website

https://www.sunlightfinancial.com

Sunlight Financial Holdings Inc is a technology-enabled point-of-sale finance company. It partners with contractors nationwide to provide homeowners with financing for the installation of residential solar systems and other home improvements. It's technology and deep credit expertise simplify and streamline consumer finance, ensuring a fast and frictionless process for both contractors and homeowners. It earns revenue in two streams: platform fees earned on each loan facilitated via Orange and fees earned for loan portfolio management, servicing, and administration services.

Executives

Matthew Potere	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	101 N. TRYON STREET, STE. 1000, CHARLOTTE NC 28246
Rodney Yoder	officer: Chief Financial Officer	101 N. TRYON STREET, SUITE 1000, CHARLOTTE NC 28246
Timothy Parsons	officer: EVP and COO	101 N. TRYON STREET, STE. 1000, CHARLOTTE NC 28246
Apollo Principal Holdings Iii Gp Ltd	10 percent owner	C/O INTERTRUST CORPORATE SERVICES, (CAYMAN) LIMITED, 190 ELGIN STREET, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9005
Apollo Anrp Capital Management Iii, Llc	10 percent owner	9 WEST 57TH ST., 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Apollo Anrp Advisors Iii, L.p.	10 percent owner	9 WEST 57TH ST., 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ap Spartan Energy Holdings Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	9 WEST 57TH ST, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Spartan Acquisition Sponsor Ii Llc	10 percent owner	9 WEST 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Aph Holdings, L.p.	10 percent owner	ONE MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 201, PURCHASE NY 10577
Barry Edinburg	officer: EVP and CFO	101 N. TRYON STREET, SUITE 1000, CHARLOTTE NC 28246
William B Miller	officer: Managing Director Acct Finance	C/O SUNLIGHT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC., 101 N. TRYON STREET, SUITE 1000, CHARLOTTE NC 28246
Scott Mulloy	officer: EVP and CIO	101 N. TRYON STREET, STE. 1000, CHARLOTTE NC 28246
Kenneth Shea	director	2277 PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 500, SUGAR LAND TX 77479
Tiger Infrastructure Partners Co-invest B Lp	10 percent owner	717 FIFTH AVENUE, FLOOR 12A, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ftv V, L.p.	10 percent owner	555 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 2900, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104