Service Properties Trust (Service Properties Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.15% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)

View and export this data going back to 1995. Start your Free Trial

What is Service Properties Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Service Properties Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.15%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Service Properties Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, Service Properties Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Service Properties Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Service Properties Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Service Properties Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Service Properties Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-6.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.15%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Service Properties Trust (NAS:SVC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Service Properties Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Service Properties Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Service Properties Trust (Service Properties Trust) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Service Properties Trust (NAS:SVC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

HPO:Germany

Address

255 Washington Street, Suite 300, Two Newton Place, Newton, MA, USA, 02458-1634

Website

https://www.svcreit.com

Service Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust that owns hotel properties. These properties are located primarily in the United States, along with Canada and Puerto Rico. The company operates through its hotel investment unit and net lease investments. The firm derives the majority of its revenue from the hotel real estate investments unit. The hotels are distinguished between their service levels, which include full service, select service, and extended stay; and chain scale, which includes luxury, upper upscale, upscale, upper midscale, and midscale. Most hotels are extended stay or upscale. Some of the major hotel brands include Courtyard by Marriott, Royal Sonesta, Crowne Plaza Hotels & Resorts, and Hyatt Place.

Executives

Rajan Penkar	director	C/O TRAVELCENTERS OF AMERICA INC., 24601 CENTER RIDGE ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Todd W Hargreaves	officer: Vice President	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Robert E. Cramer	director	C/O SERVICE PROPERTIES TRUST, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Laurie B. Burns	director	C/O SERVICE PROPERTIES TRUST, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Brian E. Donley	officer: CFO and Treasurer	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC,, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASHINGTON ST., NEWTON MA 02458
Donna D. Fraiche	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
William A. Lamkin	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Adam D. Portnoy	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Bruce M. Gans	other: Trustee	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Gerard M Martin	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Barry M. Portnoy	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Arthur G Koumantzelis	director	C/O REITMANAGEMENT & RESEARCH LLC, 400 CENTRE STREET, NUWTON MA 02458
John L Harrington	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Frank J Bailey	director	C/O REIT MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH LLC, 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
John G. Murray	officer: President, Secretary, COO	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458