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Symbotic (Symbotic) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Jul. 13, 2024)


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What is Symbotic Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Symbotic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Symbotic's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Symbotic's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Symbotic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Symbotic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Symbotic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Symbotic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.41

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Symbotic  (NAS:SYM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Symbotic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Symbotic (Symbotic) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 Research Drive, Wilmington, MA, USA, 01887
Symbotic Inc is an automation technology company that develops technologies to improve operating efficiencies in modern warehouses. The group develops, commercializes, and deploys innovative, end-to-end technology solutions that dramatically improve supply chain operations. Symbotic also automates the processing of pallets and cases in large warehouses or distribution centers for some of the retail and wholesale companies in the world. The company operates in two geographical regions the United States and Canada. Key revenue is generated from the United States.
Executives
Michael David Dunn officer: See Remarks C/O SYMBOTIC INC., 200 RESEARCH DRIVE, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Todd Krasnow director C/O CARBONITE, INC., 177 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02115
Boyd William M Iii officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O SYMBOTIC INC., 200 RESEARCH DRIVE, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Rollin L. Ford director 702 S.W. 8TH STREET, MAIL STOP # 0215, BENTONVILLE AR 72716-0215
Charles Kane director 289 TURNPIKE RD, WESTBORO MA 01581
David A Ladensohn 10 percent owner C/O SYMBOTIC INC., 200 RESEARCH DRIVE, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Ernst Thomas C Jr officer: Chief Financial Officer 2201 LAKESIDE BLVD., RICHARDSON TX 75082
Richard B Cohen director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks C/O SYMBOTIC INC., 200 RESEARCH DRIVE, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Janet L Cohen 10 percent owner C/O SYMBOTIC INC., 200 RESEARCH DRIVE, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Sunlight Investment Corp. 10 percent owner 300 EL CAMINO REAL, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Svf Ii Strategic Investments Aiv Llc 10 percent owner 300 EL CAMINO REAL, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Svf Ii Spac Investment 3 (de) Llc 10 percent owner 1 CIRCLE STAR WAY, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Softbank Group Corp 10 percent owner 1-7-1 KAIGAN, MINATO-KU, TOKYO M0 105-7537
Northstar Gp Sb 10 percent owner 69 GROSVENOR STREET, LONDON X0 W1K 3JP
Sb Management Ltd 10 percent owner 9TH FLOOR, AL SILA TOWER, ADGM SQUARE, AL MARYAH ISLAND, ABU DHABI C0 NA

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