GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (NAS:TBLD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust (Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1990. Start your Free Trial

What is Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-13.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust  (NAS:TBLD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust (Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2300 North Ridgetop Road, Santa Fe, NM, USA, 87506
Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. The Trust's investment objective is to provide current income. The Trust will seek to achieve its investment objective by investing, directly or indirectly, at least 80% of its Managed Assets.
Executives
Anne W. Kritzmire other: Trustee 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
Jason H. Brady officer: President 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
Benjamin D. Kirby other: Trustee 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
Natasha Rippel officer: Secretary 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
Jeff Klingelhofer officer: Vice President 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
Randy Dry officer: Vice President 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
John V. Hackett officer: Vice President 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
Nimish S Bhatt other: Trustee and Chair of the Board 2020 CALAMOS COURT, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Stephen Velie officer: Chief Compliance Officer C/O LEV & BERLIN PC, 535 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Brian W. Wixted other: Trustee 6803 SOUTH TUCSON WAY, CENTENNIAL CO 80112
Dina A. Tantra other: Trustee 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
Curtis Holloway officer: Treasurer and CFO 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506
Vilayphone Lithiluxa officer: Assistant Treasurer 2300 NORTH RIDGETOP ROAD, SANTA FE NM 87506

Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust (Thornburgome Builder Opportunities Trust) Headlines