Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Formosa Taffeta Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Formosa Taffeta Co (TPE:1434) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Formosa Taffeta Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
Formosa Taffeta Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Textile Manufacturing subindustry, Formosa Taffeta Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Formosa Taffeta Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry
For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Formosa Taffeta Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Formosa Taffeta Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Formosa Taffeta Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.44
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Formosa Taffeta Co (TPE:1434) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Formosa Taffeta Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Formosa Taffeta Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Formosa Taffeta Co has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Formosa Taffeta Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Formosa Taffeta Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Formosa Taffeta Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Formosa Taffeta Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Formosa Taffeta Co (TPE:1434) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$20.26, compared to a current price of NT$17.40 — trading 14.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Formosa Taffeta Co's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Formosa Taffeta Co (TPE:1434), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Formosa Taffeta Co (TPE:1434) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Formosa Taffeta Co stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of NT$17.40 is trading 14.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$20.26.
GuruFocus considers Formosa Taffeta Co to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for TPE:1434:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
GF Value™: NT$20.26 vs. price of NT$17.40 (14.1% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:1434 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Formosa Taffeta Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based company that is principally involved in the textile industry. Primary department is Fabrics, dyeing and others of which activities are Amine fabrics, polyester fabrics, cotton fabrics, blending fabrics and umbrella ribs and Secondary department is Cord fabrics, petroleum of which activities are Cord, plastic bags, refineries for gasoline, diesel, crude oil and the related petroleum products, cotton fibers, blending fibers and protection fibers. The Group has three reportable segments First business group, Cord fabric department and Gasoline department. The majority of revenue comes from First business group. The majority of revenue comes from Taiwan as compare to Asia.
76GF Score
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