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Turnstone Biologics (Turnstone Biologics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 02, 2024)


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What is Turnstone Biologics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Turnstone Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Turnstone Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Turnstone Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Turnstone Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Turnstone Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Turnstone Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Turnstone Biologics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Turnstone Biologics  (NAS:TSBX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Turnstone Biologics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Turnstone Biologics (Turnstone Biologics) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Turnstone Biologics Corp (NAS:TSBX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
HRGN GLYC SGMT HOWL KOD ARMP VERU CVM SLNCF ATOS OCSE:NOVO B VRTX REGN ASX:CSL SGEN XKRX:207940 MRNA XBRU:ARGX HKSE:02269 BNTX
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9310 Athena Circle, Suite 300, La Jolla, CA, USA, 92037
Website
https://www.turnstonebio.com
Turnstone Biologics Corp is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing new medicines to treat and cure patients with solid tumors. The company is pioneering a differentiated approach to tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, or TILs, a clinically validated technology for treating solid tumors. It is developing next-generation TIL therapies by selecting the most potent and tumor-reactive T cells, which are referred to as Selected TILs. TILs are a type of cell therapy that harnesses the patient's own immune cells to target their own tumors. TIL therapy involves the isolation of lymphocytes from the patient's tumor, expansion of the isolated cells outside the body, and then infusion of the cells back into the patient.
Executives
Davis Jerel director, 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 3630, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Versant Ventures V, Llc 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Robert J Gould director C/O EPIZYME, INC., 400 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, 4TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Sammy J. Farah director, officer: President & CEO C/O TURNSTONE BIOLOGICS CORP., 9310 ATHENA CIRCLE, SUITE 300, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Saryah Azmat officer: Chief Business Officer C/O TURNSTONE BIOLOGICS CORP., 9310 ATHENA CIRCLE, SUITE 300, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Venkat Ramanan officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TURNSTONE BIOLOGICS CORP., 9310 ATHENA CIRCLE, SUITE 300, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Campisi Peter Joseph Jr. officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O TURNSTONE BIOLOGICS CORP., 9310 ATHENA CIRCLE, SUITE 300, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Vijay Chiruvolu officer: Int. Chief Technology Officer C/O TURNSTONE BIOLOGICS CORP., 9310 ATHENA CIRCLE, SUITE 300, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Versant Vantage Ii Gp, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Versant Vantage Ii Gp-gp, Llc 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Versant Vantage Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Kanya Rajangam director C/O SENTI BIOSCIENCES, INC., 2 CORPORATE DRIVE, FIRST FLOOR, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Versant Ventures V Gp-gp (canada), Inc. 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Michael F. Burgess director, officer: Interim Chief Medical Officer C/O SYNLOGIC, INC., 301 BINNEY STREET, SUITE 402, CAMRIDGE MA 02142
Stewart Abbot officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O TURNSTONE BIOLOGICS CORP., 9310 ATHENA CIRCLE, SUITE 300, LA JOLLA CA 92037