TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co (TSE:4635) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:4635 TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co Ltd TSE:4635
66 GF Score
Price 円1,370.00
GF Value 円791.53
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co TSE:4635 +0.22% 66 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:4635 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円791.53 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co  (TSE:4635) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


TSE:4635 vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


TSE:4635
66GF Score
TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co Ltd TSE:4635
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.86

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co (TSE:4635) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jul. 14, 2026.
Is TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to LIN and SHW?
TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Chemicals industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Chemicals company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co (TSE:4635) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円791.53, compared to a current price of 円1,370.00 — trading 73.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co (TSE:4635), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co (TSE:4635) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,370.00 is trading 73.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円791.53. GuruFocus considers TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4635:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: 円791.53 vs. price of 円1,370.00 (73.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4635 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co Business Description

Address 1-12-4 Oji, Kita-ku, Tokyo, JPN
TOKYO PRINTING INK MFG Co Ltd is the speciality chemicals manufacturing company. The core business segments of the company comprise of the followings - Ink business, Chemical Products, and Processed Products business. Ink business offers offset printing, gravure ink, inkjet ink, high performance, and high-quality printer ink. Chemical Products includes colorant for plastics, functional additives for plastics, and other functional products. The Processed Products business supply packaging materials, civil engineering materials and agricultural materials for various industrial applications.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4635

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,370.00
Price
円791.53
GF Value