Three F Co (TSE:7544) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


TSE:7544 Three F Co Ltd TSE:7544
69 GF Score
Price 円558.00
GF Value 円477.47
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Three F Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Three F Co TSE:7544 +0.18% 69 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:7544 with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of 円477.47 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Three F Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Three F Co  (TSE:7544) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Three F Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


TSE:7544 vs KR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Three F Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Three F Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Three F Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Three F Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


TSE:7544
69GF Score
Three F Co Ltd TSE:7544
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Three F Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-11.92

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Three F Co (TSE:7544) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Three F Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Three F Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Three F Co has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Three F Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to KR?
Three F Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Defensive industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Three F Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Three F Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Three F Co (TSE:7544) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円477.47, compared to a current price of 円558.00 — trading 16.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Three F Co's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Three F Co (TSE:7544), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Three F Co (TSE:7544) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Three F Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円558.00 is trading 16.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円477.47. GuruFocus considers Three F Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7544:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: 円477.47 vs. price of 円558.00 (16.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7544 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Three F Co Business Description

Address 17 Nihon-Ohdori, Naka-ku, Kanagawa-ken, Yokohama, JPN, 231-8507
Three F Co Ltd is engaged in the management of convenience and franchise stores. The company operates stores under the brand name Gooz across Japan which offers fast food such as bakery, box lunch, rice ball and beverages. Its product portfolio includes Yakitori, Chilled Bento, Mochi Potigo, Pork tangerue skewers, Chicken-nosed skewer, Char-grilled salt and skewers, Chicken Tsune, Black Mer Oil Fried Rice, Mozzarella with cream sauce Chicken lunch box, chicken fried chicken and vegetables with black vinegar sauce Lunchbox, Five kinds of cheese in hamburger lunch box, Beef Calbee Grilled Meat Packed Bento, Rice strawberry white chocolate, Mochi Potato Black Honey Kinako, Mustard, Rice cakey and cream Popular cookie.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7544

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円558.00
Price
円477.47
GF Value