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AirBoss of America (TSX:BOS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.22% (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is AirBoss of America Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, AirBoss of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of AirBoss of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, AirBoss of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AirBoss of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, AirBoss of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AirBoss of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



AirBoss of America Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.13

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.22%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


AirBoss of America  (TSX:BOS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


AirBoss of America Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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AirBoss of America Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
16441 Yonge Street, Newmarket, ON, CAN, L3X 2G8
AirBoss of America Corp is a Canada-based manufacturer of rubber-based products for the resource, military, automotive, and industrial markets. It operates in three segments, 1) The AirBoss Rubber Solutions includes the manufacturing and distribution of rubber compounds and distribution of rubber compounding-related chemicals. 2) The AirBoss Manufactured Products include the manufacture and distribution of anti-noise, vibration, and harshness dampening parts and personal protection and safety products, primarily for CBRN-E threats. 3) The Unallocated Corporate Costs Include corporate activities and certain unallocated costs. The Company operates manufacturing facilities and sales offices in the United States and Canada, selling in North American markets.
Executives
Peter Grenville Schoch 10% Security Holder, Director
Matthew Boccia Senior Officer
Stephen Michael Ryan Director
Edward Kiell Senior Officer
Andrew Lowe Senior Officer
Carl David Chapman Senior Officer
Mary Matthews Director
Michael James Ciarroni Senior Officer
James Gordon Flatt 10% Security Holder
L.l.c. Sentinel Capital Partners 10% Security Holder
Alan Jd Watson Director
Yvan Ambeault Subsidiary
Mike Willetts Senior Officer
Carlos Alberto Amorim Motta Senior Officer
Morris Eddy Senior Officer

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