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Pizza Pizza Royalty (TSX:PZA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Pizza Pizza Royalty Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Pizza Pizza Royalty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Pizza Pizza Royalty's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Pizza Pizza Royalty's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Pizza Pizza Royalty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pizza Pizza Royalty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pizza Pizza Royalty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Pizza Pizza Royalty Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.67

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Pizza Pizza Royalty  (TSX:PZA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Pizza Pizza Royalty Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Pizza Pizza Royalty Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Restaurants » Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp (TSX:PZA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
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Traded in Other Exchanges
PZRIF:USA
Address
500 Kipling Avenue, Toronto, ON, CAN, M8Z 5E5
Website
https://www.pizzapizza.ca
Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp through its subsidiary, Pizza Pizza Royalty Limited Partnership, owns and franchises quick-service restaurants under the Pizza Pizza and Pizza 73 brands. It receives the benefit of Pizza Pizza Royalty and Pizza 73 Royalty payable by PPL under the Pizza Pizza Licence and Royalty Agreement and the Pizza 73 Licence and Royalty Agreement, respectively, as well as royalty payments under the international agreement, indirectly through its interests in the partnership.
Executives
Edward Peter Howard Nash Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary (other than in 4,5,6)
Neil Gainford Lester Director
Christine D'sylva Senior Officer
Philip Goudreau Senior Officer
Curtis Randall Feltner Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary (other than in 4,5,6)
Paul Goddard Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary (other than in 4,5,6)