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Torr Metals (TSXV:TMET) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.22% (As of Mar. 24, 2025)


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What is Torr Metals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Torr Metals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Torr Metals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Torr Metals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Torr Metals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Torr Metals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Torr Metals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Torr Metals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.10

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.22%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Torr Metals  (TSXV:TMET) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Torr Metals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Torr Metals Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1111 West Hastings Street, Suite 780, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6E 2J3
Torr Metals Inc is a mineral exploration company. The company owns district-scale copper-gold porphyry and orogenic gold projects. The company focused on proving and developing its 100% owned district-scale Latham Copper-Gold Project, located within the prolific Golden Triangle of northern British Columbia, Canada. The projects of the company also include Filion Gold project and Kolos Copper-Gold Project.
Executives
Malcolm Dorsey Director, Director or Senior Officer of 10% Security Holder, Senior Officer
John Williamson Director, Senior Officer
Taylor Niezen Senior Officer

Torr Metals Headlines