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VGAS (Verde Clean Fuels) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)


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What is Verde Clean Fuels Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Verde Clean Fuels's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Verde Clean Fuels's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Verde Clean Fuels's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Verde Clean Fuels's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Verde Clean Fuels's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Verde Clean Fuels's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Verde Clean Fuels Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.87

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Verde Clean Fuels  (NAS:VGAS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Verde Clean Fuels Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Verde Clean Fuels Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
711 Louisiana Street, Suite 2160, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Verde Clean Fuels Inc is a renewable energy company specializing in the conversion of synthesis gas, or syngas, derived from diverse feedstocks, such as biomass, MSW and mixed plastics, as well as natural gas (including synthetic natural gas) and other feedstocks, into liquid hydrocarbons that can be used as gasoline through a proprietary liquid fuels technology, the STG process.
Executives
Diamondback Energy, Inc. 10 percent owner 500 WEST TEXAS, SUITE 1200, MIDLAND TX 79701
J Russell Porter 10 percent owner 1331 LAMAR STREET SUITE 1080, HOUSTON TX 77010
Connally John B Iii 10 percent owner 16MARCUS CO, 1600 ROCKCLIFF ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78746
Cenaq Sponsor Llc. 10 percent owner 4550 POST OAK PLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77027
Michael J Mayell 10 percent owner C/O MERIDIAN RESOURCE CORP, 1401 ENCLAVE PARKWAY #300, HOUSTON TX 77077
Martijn Dekker director 600 TRAVIS STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Cottonmouth Ventures Llc 10 percent owner 500 WEST TEXAS AVE., SUITE 100, MIDLAND TX 79701
John R. Doyle officer: Chief Technology Officer 600 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 5050, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ernest B. Miller officer: CEO and Interim CFO 600 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 5050, HOUSTON TX 77002
Bluescape Clean Fuels Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1860, DALLAS TX 75201
Claire Dail St. director 300 EAST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Bluescape Energy Recapitalization & Restructuring Fund Iv Lp 10 percent owner 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1900, DALLAS TX 75201
Diamondback Energy E&p Llc 10 percent owner 14301 CALIBER DRIVE, SUITE 300, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73134
Hoff Graham Vant director C/O BLUESCAPE ENERGY PARTNERS, LLC, 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1900, DALLAS TX 75201
Jonathan A Siegler director 1601 BRYAN STREET, DALLAS TX 75201