Heidelberg Pharma AG (WBO:HPHA) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jul. 16, 2026)

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WBO:HPHA Heidelberg Pharma AG WBO:HPHA
10 GF Score
Price €2.55
GF Value €2.91
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Heidelberg Pharma AG Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Heidelberg Pharma AG WBO:HPHA 10 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates WBO:HPHA with a GF Score™ of 10/100 and a GF Value™ of €2.91 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Heidelberg Pharma AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Heidelberg Pharma AG  (WBO:HPHA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Heidelberg Pharma AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


WBO:HPHA vs VRTX, REGN, ALNY: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Heidelberg Pharma AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heidelberg Pharma AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Heidelberg Pharma AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heidelberg Pharma AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


WBO:HPHA
10GF Score
Heidelberg Pharma AG WBO:HPHA
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Heidelberg Pharma AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-14.08

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Heidelberg Pharma AG (WBO:HPHA) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jul. 16, 2026.
Is Heidelberg Pharma AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Heidelberg Pharma AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Heidelberg Pharma AG has a GF Score™ of 10/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Heidelberg Pharma AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to VRTX and REGN?
Heidelberg Pharma AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Biotechnology industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Biotechnology company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Biotechnology industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Heidelberg Pharma AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Heidelberg Pharma AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Heidelberg Pharma AG (WBO:HPHA) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €2.91, compared to a current price of €2.55 — trading 12.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Heidelberg Pharma AG's overall GF Score™ is 10/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Heidelberg Pharma AG (WBO:HPHA), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Heidelberg Pharma AG (WBO:HPHA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Heidelberg Pharma AG stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €2.55 is trading 12.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of €2.91. GuruFocus considers Heidelberg Pharma AG to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:HPHA:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: €2.91 vs. price of €2.55 (12.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 10/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:HPHA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Heidelberg Pharma AG Business Description

Other Exchanges 0QW5:UKHPHA:Germany
Address Gregor-Mendel-Street 22, Ladenburg, DEU, 68526
Heidelberg Pharma AG is a biopharmaceutical company developing oncology treatments through antibody drug conjugates (ADCs), which combine antibody specificity with toxin potency to selectively target and kill cancer cells. The Company researches, develops, and produces these ADCs, and has built an ADC toolbox using various antibodies and payloads to address multiple cancers and overcome tumor resistance. Its activities focus on its proprietary ATAC technology based on Amanitin, the toxin of the death cap mushroom, leveraging its biological mechanism as a novel cancer therapy. The ATAC platform is used to develop proprietary ADC candidates and is also applied in collaborations with third parties.
10GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.55
Price
€2.91
GF Value