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WDAY (Workday) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Workday Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Workday's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Workday's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Workday's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Workday's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Workday's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Workday's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Workday Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.21

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Workday  (NAS:WDAY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Workday Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Workday Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Workday Inc (NAS:WDAY) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
6110 Stoneridge Mall Road, Pleasanton, CA, USA, 94588
Workday is a software company that offers human capital management, or HCM, financial management, and business planning solutions. Known for being a cloud-only software provider, Workday was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Pleasanton, California.
Executives
David A Duffield 10 percent owner C/O WORKDAY, INC., 6230 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Sayan Chakraborty officer: Co-President 6110 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Frederick Wayne A.i. director 500 W MAIN ST., LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Richard Harry Sauer officer: EVP, General Counsel & Secty 6110 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Still George J Jr director NORWEST VENTURE PARTNERS, 525 UNIVERSITY AVENUE, SUITE 800, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Douglas A. Robinson officer: Co-President 6110 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
James Bozzini officer: Senior Vice President 6230 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Aneel Bhusri director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-CEO and Chairman
Zane Rowe officer: Chief Financial Officer 1600 SMITH STREET, HQSEO, HOUSTON TX 77002
Carl M. Eschenbach director C/O SEQUOIA CAPITAL, 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, PALO ALTO CA 94025
Christa Davies director AON CORPORATE LAW DEPT, 200 EAST RANDOLPH ST, 8TH FL, CHICAGO IL 60601
Barbara A Larson officer: Chief Financial Officer 6110 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Mark J Hawkins director C/O LOGITECH, INC., 6505 KAISER DRIVE, FREMONT CA 94555
Robynne Sisco officer: Chief Financial Officer 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Gomez Luciano Fernandez officer: Co-President 1A SHAWFIELD STREET,, RICHARDSON HOUSE, LONDON X0 SW3 4BA