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WEA (Western Asset Premier Bond Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Jan. 19, 2025)


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What is Western Asset Premier Bond Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Western Asset Premier Bond Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Western Asset Premier Bond Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Western Asset Premier Bond Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Western Asset Premier Bond Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Western Asset Premier Bond Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Western Asset Premier Bond Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Western Asset Premier Bond Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.65

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Western Asset Premier Bond Fund  (NYSE:WEA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Western Asset Premier Bond Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Western Asset Premier Bond Fund Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
620 Eighth Avenue, 47th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10018
Western Asset Premier Bond Fund is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is to provide current income and capital appreciation by investing in a diversified portfolio of investment-grade bonds. The Fund invests in sectors, such as financials, energy, telecommunication services, consumer discretionary, healthcare, materials, information technology, and consumer staples.
Executives
Ronald L Olson director EDISON INTERNATIONAL, 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Siart William E B director 266 TOYOPA DRIVE, PACIFIC PALISADES CA 90272
Hoffmann Courtney A. other: Secretary/GC Subadviser WESTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC, 385 EAST COLORADO BOULEVARD, PASADENA CA 91101
Andrew J. Bowden other: COO/Subadviser WESTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC, 385 EAST COLORADO BOULEVARD, PASADENA CA 91101
Oliveira Marc De officer: Secretary / Chief LGL Officer C/O LEGG MASON & CO. LLC, ONE FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06902
Jed A. Plafker other: Director of Investment Adviser ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Matthew Nicholls other: Director of Investment Adviser ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Jennifer M Johnson other: Director of Investment Adviser C/O FRANKLIN RESOURCES, INC., ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403-1906
Michael Larson director 2365 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Susan B Kerley director 51 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10010
Jane F Dasher director KORSNAT PARTNERS, 283 GREENWICH AVE 3RD FL, GREENWICH CT 06830
Christopher Berarducci officer: Treas/Principal Finan Officer LEGG MASON, 620 EIGHTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10018
Ted P Becker officer: Chief Compliance Officer 399 PARK AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Peter J. Taylor director 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Thomas C Merchant other: Director of Subadviser LEGG MASON, INC., 100 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, BALTIMORE MD 21202