GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Retail - Defensive » Walmart Inc (NYSE:WMT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Walmart (WMT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Jun. 22, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1970. Start your Free Trial

What is Walmart Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Walmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Walmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Walmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Walmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Walmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Walmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Walmart Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.40

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Walmart  (NYSE:WMT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Walmart Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Walmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Walmart (WMT) Business Description

Industry
Address
702 S.W. 8th Street, Bentonville, AR, USA, 72716
Walmart serves as the preeminent retailer in the United States, with its strategy predicated on superior operating efficiency and offering the lowest priced goods to consumers to drive robust store traffic and product turnover. Walmart augmented its low-price business strategy by offering a convenient one-stop shopping destination with the opening of its first supercenter in 1988.Today, Walmart operates over 4,700 stores in the United States (5,300 including Sam's Club) and over 10,000 stores globally. Walmart generated over $420 billion in domestic namesake sales last year, with Sam's Club contributing another $84 billion to the firm's top line. Internationally, Walmart generated $100 billion in sales. The company serves around 240 million customers globally each week.
Executives
John D Rainey officer: Executive Vice President C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC., 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Jim C Walton director, other: Director C/O WALTON ENTERPRISES, INC., P.O. BOX 1860, BENTONVILLE AR 72712
S Robson Walton director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board C/O WALTON ENTERPRISES, INC., P.O. BOX 1860, BENTONVILLE AR 72716-0105
Alice L Walton 10 percent owner 110 N.W. SECOND STREET, SUITE 300, BENTONVILLE AR 72712
C Douglas Mcmillon officer: Executive Vice President 702 SW 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
John R. Furner officer: Executive Vice President 702 SW 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
Rachel L Brand officer: Executive Vice President 702 S.W. 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
Christopher James Nicholas officer: Executive Vice President 702 SW 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
David Chojnowski officer: Senior Vice President 5505 BLUE LAGOON DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33126
Daniel J Bartlett officer: Executive Vice President 702 SW 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
Randall L Stephenson director 208 S. AKARD ST., DALLAS TX 75202
Judith J Mckenna officer: Executive Vice President 702 S.W. 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
M. Brett Biggs officer: Executive Vice President 702 SW 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
Marc E. Lore officer: Executive Vice President 443 GREENWICH STREET, PHA, NEW YORK NY 10013
Kathryn J. Mclay officer: Executive Vice President 702 S.W. 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716

Walmart (WMT) Headlines