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WTS (Watts Water Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Watts Water Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Watts Water Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Watts Water Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Watts Water Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watts Water Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Watts Water Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watts Water Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Watts Water Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.59

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Watts Water Technologies  (NYSE:WTS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Watts Water Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Watts Water Technologies Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
815 Chestnut Street, North Andover, MA, USA, 01845
Watts Water Technologies Inc is a U.S.-based company that provides safety, energy efficiency, and water conservation products. Its product portfolio includes residential and commercial flow control products, which are sold for plumbing and hot water applications; HVAC and gas products, including commercial boilers, water heaters, heating solutions, and heating systems; drainage and water reuse products, including drainage products and engineered rainwater-harvesting solutions; and water quality products, including point-of-use and point-of-entry water filtration, conditioning, and scale prevention systems. The company generates the majority of its revenue from markets in the Americas and in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
Executives
Shashank Patel officer: Chief Financial Officer 1 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, RYE BROOK NY 10573
Timothy P Horne director, 10 percent owner WATTS INDUSTRIES INC, ROUTE 815 CHESTNUT ST, NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Monica Barry officer: Chief HR Officer WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES INC., 815 CHESTNUT ST., NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Kenneth Robert Lepage officer: General Counsel WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 815 CHESTNUT STREET, NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Pagano Robert J Jr officer: President and CEO WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES INC., 815 CHESTNUT ST, NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Elie Melhem officer: President, Asia WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 815 CHESTNUT STREET, NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Michael J. Dubose director WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES INC., 815 CHESTNUT ST., NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Virginia A Halloran officer: Acting CAO WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 815 CHESTNUT STREET, NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Joseph T Noonan director WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 815 CHESTNUT STREET, NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Andre Dhawan officer: Chief Operating Officer WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES INC., 815 CHESTNUT ST., NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
Munish Nanda officer: President, Americas 1133 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, C/O ITT CORPORATION, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Louise K Goeser director C/O PPL CORPORATION, TWO NORTH NINTH STREET, ALLENTOWN PA 18101
Todd A Trapp officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 815 CHESTNUT STREET, NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845
David A. Dunbar director 11 KEEWAYDIN DRIVE, SUITE 300, SALEM NH 03079
Jes Munk Hansen director 815 CHESTNUT STREET, NORTH ANDOVER MA 01845