AYS Ventures Bhd (XKLS:5021) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.12% (As of Jul. 19, 2026)

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XKLS:5021 AYS Ventures Bhd XKLS:5021
31 GF Score
Price RM0.22
GF Value RM0.27
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is AYS Ventures Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

AYS Ventures Bhd XKLS:5021 31 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12% as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus rates XKLS:5021 with a GF Score™ of 31/100 and a GF Value™ of RM0.27 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, AYS Ventures Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

AYS Ventures Bhd  (XKLS:5021) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

AYS Ventures Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

XKLS:5021 vs NUE, STLD, RS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, AYS Ventures Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

AYS Ventures Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, AYS Ventures Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AYS Ventures Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XKLS:5021
31GF Score
AYS Ventures Bhd XKLS:5021
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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AYS Ventures Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.73

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.12%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.12% mean?
AYS Ventures Bhd (XKLS:5021) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.12% as of Jul. 19, 2026.
Is AYS Ventures Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
AYS Ventures Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%. Overall, AYS Ventures Bhd has a GF Score™ of 31/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AYS Ventures Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to NUE and STLD?
AYS Ventures Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.12% can be compared against companies in the Steel industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Steel company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Steel industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. AYS Ventures Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AYS Ventures Bhd stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AYS Ventures Bhd (XKLS:5021) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is RM0.27, compared to a current price of RM0.22 — trading 20.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%. AYS Ventures Bhd's overall GF Score™ is 31/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AYS Ventures Bhd (XKLS:5021), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12% as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AYS Ventures Bhd (XKLS:5021) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AYS Ventures Bhd stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of RM0.22 is trading 20.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of RM0.27. GuruFocus considers AYS Ventures Bhd to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XKLS:5021:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.12%
  • GF Value™: RM0.27 vs. price of RM0.22 (20.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 31/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:5021 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

AYS Ventures Bhd Business Description

Address Jalan Haji Abdul Manan, Lot 6488, Klang, SGR, MYS, 42100
AYS Ventures Bhd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, it is principally involved in the trading and manufacturing of steel, construction, and related products. The group's operating business segments are Trading and services, Manufacturing, and Others. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Trading and services segment, which is engaged in trading and marketing of steel products and all types of construction materials, warehousing, and storage services. The Manufacturing segment is involved in the manufacturing and trading of purlin, structural steel components, and other steel products. Geographically, the group generates maximum revenue from Malaysia, followed by Singapore, the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation countries, and other countries.
31GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKLS:5021

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RM0.22
Price
RM0.27
GF Value