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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, OSK Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
OSK Holdings Bhd (XKLS:5053) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
OSK Holdings Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
OSK Holdings Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, OSK Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
OSK Holdings Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Real Estate Industry
For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, OSK Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where OSK Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
OSK Holdings Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.40
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
OSK Holdings Bhd (XKLS:5053) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jul. 21, 2026.
Is OSK Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
OSK Holdings Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, OSK Holdings Bhd has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does OSK Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
OSK Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Real Estate industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Real Estate company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. OSK Holdings Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is OSK Holdings Bhd stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, OSK Holdings Bhd (XKLS:5053) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is RM1.41, compared to a current price of RM1.95 — trading 38.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. OSK Holdings Bhd's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For OSK Holdings Bhd (XKLS:5053), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is OSK Holdings Bhd (XKLS:5053) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, OSK Holdings Bhd stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of RM1.95 is trading 38.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of RM1.41.
GuruFocus considers OSK Holdings Bhd to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XKLS:5053:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
GF Value™: RM1.41 vs. price of RM1.95 (38.3% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:5053 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
OSK Holdings Bhd is an investment holding company with a focus on core areas of business: Property segment; Financial services segment; Industries segment; Hospitality segment and Investment Holding. It derives maximum revenue from Property Segment, which involves development and construction of residential and commercial properties for sale, provision of project management services, management and letting of properties, contributing to rental yield and property appreciation, and cultivation and sale of oil palm fresh fruit bunches and other agricultural produce. Alongside its real estate engagements, OSK engages in the manufacturing and trading of cable and wire products, wall panels, and building materials.
75GF Score
Get the complete analysis for XKLS:5053
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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