Pharmaniaga Bhd (XKLS:7081) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.08% (As of Jul. 08, 2026)


XKLS:7081 Pharmaniaga Bhd XKLS:7081
46 GF Score
Price RM1.22
GF Value RM0.74
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Pharmaniaga Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Pharmaniaga Bhd XKLS:7081 -4.69% 46 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08% as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates XKLS:7081 with a GF Score™ of 46/100 and a GF Value™ of RM0.74 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Pharmaniaga Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Pharmaniaga Bhd  (XKLS:7081) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Pharmaniaga Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XKLS:7081 vs MCK, CAH, COR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Medical Distribution subindustry, Pharmaniaga Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pharmaniaga Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Medical Distribution Industry

For the Medical Distribution industry and Healthcare sector, Pharmaniaga Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pharmaniaga Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XKLS:7081
46GF Score
Pharmaniaga Bhd XKLS:7081
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Pharmaniaga Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.10

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.08% mean?
Pharmaniaga Bhd (XKLS:7081) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.08% as of Jul. 08, 2026.
Is Pharmaniaga Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Pharmaniaga Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%. Overall, Pharmaniaga Bhd has a GF Score™ of 46/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Pharmaniaga Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MCK and CAH?
Pharmaniaga Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.08% can be compared against companies in the Medical Distribution industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Medical Distribution company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Medical Distribution industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Pharmaniaga Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Pharmaniaga Bhd stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pharmaniaga Bhd (XKLS:7081) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is RM0.74, compared to a current price of RM1.22 — trading 64.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%. Pharmaniaga Bhd's overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Pharmaniaga Bhd (XKLS:7081), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08% as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Pharmaniaga Bhd (XKLS:7081) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pharmaniaga Bhd stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of RM1.22 is trading 64.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of RM0.74. GuruFocus considers Pharmaniaga Bhd to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XKLS:7081:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.08%
  • GF Value™: RM0.74 vs. price of RM1.22 (64.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 46/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:7081 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Pharmaniaga Bhd Business Description

Address No. 7, Lorong Keluli 1B, Kawasan Perindustrian Bukit Raja, Seksyen 7, Selatan, Shah Alam, SGR, MYS, 40000
Pharmaniaga Bhd is engaged in the manufacture of pharmaceuticals and medical devices. The company is also involved in logistics and distribution. The group operates in three segments - Logistics and distribution, Manufacturing in Malaysia, and Manufacturing and distribution in Indonesia. Maximum revenue is generated by the logistics and distribution segment in Malaysia. The Logistics and distribution segment is engaged in distribution, trading and wholesaling of pharmaceutical and medical products as well as supply and installation of medical and hospital equipment in Malaysia.
46GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKLS:7081

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RM1.22
Price
RM0.74
GF Value